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Front Page arrow Politics arrow Political Analysis arrow Exploding Political Myths
Political Analysis of States
Party State 65 or Older
White
Black Latino HS Grad
Coll 4Yr
Median HH Income
Poverty Level
D District of Columbia 14.7% 36.1% 54.4% 8.5% 85.3% 47.2% 56,428 17.8%
D Massachusetts 17.1% 82.7% 6.1% 8.3% 88.4% 37.7% 81,056 10.0%
D Rhode Island 17.9% 82.8% 5.4% 8.6% 83.0% 29.8% 55,327 11.6%
D Hawaii 18.5% 26.8% 2.3% 8.6% 89.5% 29.2% 66,034 8.8%
D New York 17.2% 66.7% 15.6% 16.4% 84.1% 31.6% 55,401 13.8%
D Vermont 17.3% 96.1% 0.8% 1.3% 90.4% 33.1% 51,704 10.5%
D Maryland 15.6% 61.2% 28.7% 6.4% 87.5% 35.1% 70,005 8.0%
D Connecticut 17.7% 79.9% 9.4% 11.6% 88.2% 34.8% 68,411 8.5%
D Illinois 16.1% 71.4% 14.6% 14.9% 85.6% 29.5% 55,935 12.1%
D California 14.8% 60.9% 6.2% 36.1% 80.3% 29.4% 61,154 12.9%
D Delaware 17.9% 72.6% 20.4% 6.5% 86.7% 26.8% 57,270 10.4%
D Maine 18.9% 95.3% 1.1% 1.2% 89.3% 25.9% 46,807 12.6%
D New Jersey 17.2% 70.1% 13.6% 15.9% 86.9% 34.0% 69,674 8.7%
D Washington 15.4% 80.5% 3.4% 9.5% 89.3% 30.5% 57,234 11.6%
D Michigan 16.9% 79.6% 14.0% 4.0% 87.6% 24.7% 49,694 14.0%
D Oregon 17.0% 86.2% 1.7% 10.6% 88.1% 28.0% 49,863 13.4%
D Pennsylvania 19.7% 83.8% 10.3% 4.6% 86.8% 25.9% 50,272 11.9%
D Minnesota 16.2% 88.0% 4.4% 4.0% 91.1% 31.1% 57,795 9.7%
I New Mexico 17.2% 70.1% 2.2% 44.5% 82.0% 24.9% 43,202 17.9%
I Wisconsin 17.2% 87.6% 5.9% 4.9% 89.0% 25.5% 52,249 10.7%
I New Hampshire 16.3% 94.9% 1.0% 2.5% 90.5% 32.6% 63,989 7.6%
I Iowa 19.3% 92.7% 2.4% 4.0% 89.6% 24.2% 48,585 11.2%
I Nevada 15.1% 74.9% 7.4% 24.9% 83.7% 21.4% 56,348 10.8%
United States
16.7% 74.3% 12.3% 15.1% 84.5% 27.4% 52,175 13.2%
I Ohio 17.8% 84.0% 11.7% 2.5% 87.0% 23.8% 48,032 13.2%
I Colorado 13.5% 83.7% 3.8% 19.9% 88.6% 35.0% 56,574 11.9%
I Florida 21.9% 76.7% 15.3% 20.5% 84.9% 25.7% 48,637 12.6%
I Virginia 15.5% 70.7% 19.5% 6.6% 85.7% 33.2% 61,044 9.9%
I Missouri 17.8% 83.9% 11.2% 3.1% 85.6% 24.5% 46,408 13.3%
I North Carolina 16.2% 70.3% 21.2% 7.0% 82.9% 25.6% 46,107 14.6%
R Arizona 17.7% 77.7% 3.5% 29.6% 83.7% 25.3% 51,124 14.3%
R West Virginia 19.7% 94.4% 3.4% 1.1% 81.5% 17.0% 37,870 17.2%
R Tennessee 17.0% 79.3% 16.5% 3.5% 81.8% 22.2% 43,662 15.7%
R Georgia 13.5% 62.2% 29.7% 7.7% 82.9% 27.0% 50,549 14.5%
R Arkansas 18.6% 78.6% 15.5% 5.3% 81.2% 15.8% 39,127 17.6%
R Indiana 16.8% 85.7% 8.6% 5.0% 85.7% 22.3% 48,675 12.7%
R Louisiana 16.3% 64.3% 31.5% 3.2% 80.2% 20.4% 42,634 18.5%
R South Carolina 17.2% 67.5% 28.3% 3.8% 82.1% 23.2% 44,326 15.5%
R Montana 18.1% 89.6% 0.6% 2.8% 90.5% 27.1% 44,042 14.3%
R Mississippi 16.9% 60.0% 37.1% 1.9% 78.8% 19.0% 37,404 21.0%
R Kentucky 17.0% 89.2% 7.5% 2.2% 80.4% 20.0% 41,763 17.2%
R South Dakota 19.0% 87.1% 1.0% 2.2% 88.9% 24.8% 45,542 13.2%
R Texas 13.9% 71.4% 11.5% 35.9% 79.2% 25.1% 49,078 16.3%
R Alabama 17.9% 70.4% 26.2% 2.7% 80.9% 21.5% 42,131 16.3%
R Kansas 17.3% 85.7% 5.6% 8.8% 89.0% 29.0% 49,189 11.7%
R North Dakota 18.7% 90.7% 0.9% 1.8% 89.0% 26.1% 45,390 12.1%
R Nebraska 17.8% 88.8% 4.0% 7.6% 89.8% 27.3% 49,231 11.1%
R Alaska 9.3% 68.6% 3.3% 5.8% 90.6% 26.5% 66,293 9.5%
R Oklahoma 17.8% 75.4% 7.3% 7.4% 84.9% 22.4% 42,541 16.2%
R Idaho 16.1% 92.4% 0.6% 9.9% 87.9% 24.0% 47,331 12.4%
R Wyoming 16.0% 91.6% 0.9% 7.5% 90.9% 23.3% 53,096 8.9%
R Utah 12.8% 90.0% 1.0% 11.5% 90.3% 28.8% 56,484 10.0%
Exploding Political Myths


This table does indeed explode political myths because it contains the states ranked from the most Democratic to the most Republican based on the average margin from the last three Presidential elections.  The blue figures are when the data is above the nationwide figures and the red when they are below that.  The black figures are for the nationwide data shown in the middle of the table or when some other figure matches that.  If the data shows a preponderance of one color at the top or bottom of the table then that particular data does show some correlation with which party those states favor.

Myth # 1: People 65 and older vote more Republican.  The mix of ink shows very little correlation.

Myth # 2: White people tend to vote more Republican as opposed to minorities.  Again the mix of ink colors shows very little correlation to support this myth.

Myth # 3: A state with a lot of black Americans will vote Democrat.  It is true that black Americans do overwhelming favor Democrats but they do not drive a state to become Democrat probably because they do not turn out very well with 2008 being a major exception.  It is true that the eight most Republican states have a low percentage of black Americans.  Of course once the percentage of them goes above 50% like in DC then that is enough to make DC the most Democratic area in the country.  On the other hand, states with an extremely low percentage of minorities like Vermont and Maine are solidly Democrat or Socialist.

Myth # 4: A high percentage of Latinos will drive a state Democrat.  This is obviously not true since the most Latino state of New Mexico is a swing state and a solid Republican state like Texas has a 35.9% Latino population.  However, the converse is true.  Notice that with the exception of Texas and Arizona, all the solid Republican states have a low percentage of Latinos.

Myth # 5: Better educated people tend to vote Republican.  This used to be true but now the exact opposite is true.  Notice that the blue ink piles up at the top of the table that is Democratic and the red ink piles up at the bottom with the Republicans in the column with the percentage of the population with a bachelor's degree or higher.  Depending on your political views, one can say that smarter people are Democrats and only stupid rednecks are Republican or that better educated people remain brainwashed by their left wing professors for the rest of their lives.

Myth # 6: The Republican Party represents the fat cat rich people.  If this was ever true, it certainly is no longer the case.  The column with the figures for the median household income shows another pile up of one color ink at the top and bottom of the table.  In the fourteen most Democratic states they all have higher than the norm incomes with the exception of Vermont and Maine.  In the Republican states, there is an ocean of red ink except strangely enough in three of the five most Republican states.  Alaska has to pay higher than normal wages to get people to be willing to withstand the extreme cold.  Utah is heavily Mormon (who tend to vote Republican) but they also tend to go to Brigham Young University in droves and that may explain the better income.  What is going on in Wyoming is not clear but something surely is.

Myth # 7: Because Democrats spend a lot of their time trying to help the poor and downtrodden, these people return the favor by voting for them.  This is false because there is a pile up of blue ink in the Republican end of the table indicating that there is a higher percentage of the people in those states who are above the nationwide poverty level.  Likewise, there is a similar pile up of red ink in the Democrat end of the table indicating fewer people living in poverty,